The Safest and Most Dangerous Places in Bull Run, VA: Crime Maps and Statistics

C-

Overall Crime Grade™

Violent Crime Grade	C
Property Crime Grade	C-
Other Crime Grade	C-

Which crimes are included?

$9.09 million

Cost of Crime™ for Bull Run, VA

In 2025, crime will cost $1,267 per household.

More cost data

On the map, green marks the parts of Bull Run with the least crime overall and red marks the most. Each area is weighted by the type and severity of every offense, so a place with rare but serious violent crime can grade differently from one with frequent petty theft. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read the colors.

Is Bull Run, VA Safe?

The C- overall grade blends the violent, property, and other grades shown above into one measure, set against the average US city, where Bull Run's combined rate is slightly higher than the norm. Bull Run sits in the 38th percentile, ahead of 38% of cities and behind 62%. The grade covers only Bull Run's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby cities.

The overall crime rate in Bull Run is 28.48 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the west part of the city the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 5 in the east neighborhoods to 1 in 58 in the west.

Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the north parts of Bull Run, VA report the most crime, about 137 cases per year. The northeast part reports the fewest, around 9 per year.

The Cost of Crime™ in Bull Run, VA

Across all crime types, the projected cost of crime in Bull Run for 2025 is $9,090,512, about $465 per resident and $1,267 per household. That equals 1.3% of the median household income. These figures cover tangible costs, which include:

Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 53.0%
Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 35.4%
Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 11.6%

How Much Does Crime Cost in Bull Run Compared to Other Cities?

Bull Run, VA:	$465
Emporia, VA:	$1033
Round Hill, VA:	$132
Virginia:	$432
USA:	$464

The overall cost of crime per resident in Bull Run is $465 per year, which is $1 more than the national average and $34 more than Virginia's state average. The comparison below uses cities similar to Bull Run:

In Emporia, VA, crime costs $1,033 per person, which is $567 more than in Bull Run.
In Round Hill, VA, crime costs $132 per person, which is $333 less than in Bull Run

2025 Projected Cost by Type of Crime

The table below shows the total cost of crime to the residents of Bull Run for the year 2025 along with the projected cost per resident.

Crime	Cost to Bull Run	Cost per Bull Run Resident
Murder	$2.86 million	$147
Rape/Sexual Assault	$639,074	$33
Robbery	$227,233	$12
Assault	$1.24 million	$64
Kidnapping	$319,411	$16
Vehicle Theft	$1.11 million	$57
Burglary	$219,770	$11
Theft	$1.01 million	$52
Arson	$28,596	$1
Vandalism	$691,014	$35
Animal Cruelty	$22,317	$1
Drug Crimes	$606,556	$31
Identity Theft	$117,775	$6
Total Cost of Crime	$9,090,512	$465

The Intangible Cost of Crime in Bull Run, VA

The totals above count tangible costs only. Violent crime also carries a human cost, the pain and trauma borne by victims and their families, which research-based methods estimate so it can be compared across places. That intangible cost in Bull Run totals $22,427,839 ($1,148 per resident), and all of it comes from violent crime rather than property loss. Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $31,518,351 ($1,614 per resident). All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Crime Maps

Crime rates on the map are measured per resident, so areas with heavy visitor traffic can read high because crime follows crowds, even where few people live. The southeast part of the city holds more retail establishments, which lifts recorded crime around those blocks. A red area does not always mean the neighborhood is unsafe for residents.

Airports, parks, and transit hubs create the same effect. Major airports draw large crowds with few residents nearby, so they read as high-crime spots. Parks and recreational areas, of which Bull Run has 2, do the same, and of Bull Run's 19,530 residents few live beside them. Before assuming an area is unsafe, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total number of incidents, and note what sits nearby.

The interactive maps load faster on a strong connection. Compare high speed internet in Bull Run, VA at ISP Reports.

Bull Run Crime Breakdown

The tables below show which crimes are used to calculate the Crime Grades above. All crime rates are shown as the number of crimes per 1,000 Bull Run residents in a standard year.

Violent Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Assault	2.215
Robbery	0.3699
Rape	0.5397
Murder	0.0780
Total Violent Crime	3.202 (C)

Property Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Theft	9.955
Vehicle Theft	3.663
Burglary	1.241
Arson	0.0606
Total Property Crime	14.92 (C-)

Other Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Kidnapping	0.2697
Drug Crimes	4.199
Vandalism	4.953
Identity Theft	0.7791
Animal Cruelty	0.1545
Total "Other" Rate	10.35 (C-)

Individual Bull Run Crime Maps & Stats

Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Cities

Compared to surrounding cities, the rate of crime in Bull Run is higher. The table below shows Crime Grades for cities close to Bull Run.

Nearby City	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Sudley, VA	C+	C+	B-
Yorkshire Park, VA	B+	A-	B+
Linton Hall, VA	A-	A	A
Yorkshire, VA	C	A-	C
Manassas Park, VA	C+	B+	B-
Manassas, VA	C+	B+	C+
Bristow, VA	A-	A-	A
Buckhall, VA	B+	A-	A-
Gainesville, VA	B+	A	A-
Centreville, VA	B	A	C+

Crime Maps and Rates for City with Similar Populations

Bull Run is higher versus other cities of the same size for crime. The table below compares crime in cities with comparable overall population in the city‘s boundaries.

Similar City	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Sudbury, MA	A+	A	A
Lackawanna, NY	C	D-	D-
Lajas, PR	F	F	F
Lakeland North, WA	D	B-	B-
Tallmadge, OH	C	B	B
Lanham, MD	C-	C-	C-
Lawrenceburg, IN	B+	B+	B+
Sussex, WI	A	A	A
Lewistown, PA	B+	C+	C+
Liberty Hill, TX	A	A-	A-

Considering only the crime rate, Bull Run is as safe as the Virginia state average and as safe as the national average.

Safety and school performance are separate topics, but both shape moving decisions. Using SchoolGrade data, schools in Bull Run, VA average SchoolGrade of B, with 44% actual proficiency versus 39% projected; overall, schools exceed expectations. See Bull Run schools on SchoolGrade

About the Data

CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.