$865,475
Cost of Crime™ for Lincoln, San Rafael, CA
In 2025, violent crime will cost $595 per household.
More cost data
On the map, green marks the parts of Lincoln with the least violent crime and red marks the most, weighted by the type and severity of each offense. Violent crime concentrates where people gather after dark, near nightlife, bars, and transit, more than on residential streets. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read those hot spots.
The C grade reflects how often assault, robbery, rape, and murder occur in Lincoln against the average US neighborhood, where the rate is slightly higher than the norm. Lincoln sits in the 45th percentile for violent-crime safety, ahead of 45% of neighborhoods and behind 55%. The grade covers only Lincoln's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.
The violent crime rate in Lincoln is 4.766 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the northwest part of the neighborhood the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 167 in the southeast areas to 1 in 289 in the northwest.
Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the southeast parts of Lincoln, San Rafael, CA report the most violent crime, about 5 cases per year. The south part reports the fewest, around 0 per year.
The Cost of Crime™ in Lincoln, San Rafael, CA
The tangible cost of violent crime in Lincoln is projected at $865,475 for 2025, about $263 per resident and $595 per household. That equals 0.4% of the median household income, and it counts only the bills that can be totaled: emergency care, lost wages, and the justice response. The larger cost, the harm to victims, comes later on this page.
These tangible costs split into:
- Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 43.7%
- Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 42.4%
- Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 13.8%
How Much Does Violent Crime Cost in Lincoln Compared to Other Neighborhoods?
| Lincoln, San Rafael, CA: |
$263
|
| Downtown San Francisco, San Fr: |
$824
|
| El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir: |
$82
|
| California: |
$264
|
| USA: |
$258
|
The tangible cost of violent crime is $263 per resident each year in Lincoln, which is $4 more than the national average and $2 less than San Rafael's city average. The comparison below uses neighborhoods similar to Lincoln:
- In Downtown San Francisco, San Fr, crime costs $824 per person, which is $561 more than in Lincoln.
- In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $82 per person, which is $180 less than in Lincoln
2025 Projected Violent Crime Cost by Type
The table below breaks the violent-crime total into its four offenses for Lincoln, with the projected cost per resident.
Crime |
Cost to Lincoln |
Cost per Lincoln Resident |
Murder |
$352,735 |
$107 |
Rape/Sexual Assault |
$109,409 |
$33 |
Robbery |
$106,695 |
$32 |
Assault |
$296,636 |
$90 |
Total Cost of Violent Crime |
$865,475 |
$263 |
The Human Cost of Violent Crime in Lincoln, San Rafael, CA
Much of what violent crime costs never reaches a bill. Pain, trauma, and lost quality of life for victims and their families typically outweigh the medical and legal totals above. Research-based methods put a figure on that harm so it can be compared across places.
By those methods, the human cost of violent crime in Lincoln totals $2,997,576 ($909 per resident). Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $3,863,051 ($1,172 per resident). This human toll is what sets violent crime apart from
property crime in Lincoln, San Rafael, CA, where the loss is mostly replaceable property.
All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime.
Read more about our methodology here.
Interpreting the Violent Crime Maps
Violent crime rates are measured per resident, so places packed with visitors after dark read high even when few people live there. Bars, clubs, event venues, and transit hubs draw the crowds where assaults and robberies cluster. How strongly this shows on the map depends on the commercial base; the north part of the neighborhood has more retail establishments. A red block full of bars and venues does not mean the homes around it are dangerous.
Transit stations show the same effect: large moving crowds, few residents, so per-capita violent crime reads high. Before judging a residential street, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total count of incidents, and note what draws crowds nearby.
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high speed internet in Lincoln, San Rafael, CA at ISP Reports.
Lincoln Violent Crime Breakdown
The table below shows which offenses feed the Violent Crime Grade above, each as crimes per 1,000 Lincoln residents in a standard year.
Crime Type |
Crime Rate |
Assault |
3.133 |
Robbery |
1.029 |
Rape |
0.5473 |
Murder |
0.0569 |
Total Violent Crime |
4.766 (C) |
Individual Lincoln Crime Maps & Stats
Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods
Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of violent crime in Lincoln is lower. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Lincoln.
Nearby Neighborhood | Overall Crime Grade | Violent Crime Grade | Property Crime Grade |
|---|
| D+ | D | D- |
| A- | B- | B+ |
| A | B | A |
| D+ | D+ | D- |
| B | C- | B- |
| B+ | C- | B |
| B | D+ | B- |
| B | C- | B- |
| B- | C- | B- |
| A- | B | B+ |
Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations
Lincoln is similar versus other neighborhoods of the same size for violent crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.
Similar Neighborhood | Overall Crime Grade | Violent Crime Grade | Property Crime Grade |
|---|
| F | D- | D- |
| C | D- | D- |
| B- | A- | A- |
| A+ | A+ | A+ |
| A | A- | A- |
| A | B+ | B+ |
| B | A+ | A+ |
| C | C | C |
| B+ | B | B |
| B+ | A | A |
Considering only the violent crime rate, Lincoln is as safe as the California state average and less safe than the national average.
About the Data
CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.
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