The Safest and Most Dangerous Places in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA: Crime Maps and Statistics

Overall Crime Grade™

Violent Crime Grade	F
Property Crime Grade	F
Other Crime Grade	C

Which crimes are included?

$8.44 million

Cost of Crime™ for Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

In 2025, crime will cost $3,181 per household.

More cost data

On the map, green marks the parts of Downtown Modesto with the least crime overall and red marks the most. Each area is weighted by the type and severity of every offense, so a place with rare but serious violent crime can grade differently from one with frequent petty theft. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read the colors.

Is Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA Safe?

The F overall grade blends the violent, property, and other grades shown above into one measure, set against the average US neighborhood, where Downtown Modesto's combined rate is much higher than the norm. Downtown Modesto sits in the 5th percentile, ahead of 5% of neighborhoods and behind 95%. The grade covers only Downtown Modesto's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.

The overall crime rate in Downtown Modesto is 87.07 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the south part of the neighborhood the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 4 in the east areas to 1 in 20 in the south.

Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the east parts of Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA report the most crime, about 162 cases per year. The northwest part reports the fewest, around 18 per year.

The Cost of Crime™ in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

Across all crime types, the projected cost of crime in Downtown Modesto for 2025 is $8,435,638, about $1,158 per resident and $3,181 per household. That equals 4.4% of the median household income. These figures cover tangible costs, which include:

Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 55.7%
Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 33.6%
Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 10.6%

How Much Does Crime Cost in Downtown Modesto Compared to Other Neighborhoods?

Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA:	$1158
New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA:	$1496
El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir:	$200
California:	$491
USA:	$464

The overall cost of crime per resident in Downtown Modesto is $1,158 per year, which is $694 more than the national average and $667 more than Modesto's city average. The comparison below uses neighborhoods similar to Downtown Modesto:

In New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA, crime costs $1,496 per person, which is $338 more than in Downtown Modesto.
In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $200 per person, which is $958 less than in Downtown Modesto

2025 Projected Cost by Type of Crime

The table below shows the total cost of crime to the residents of Downtown Modesto for the year 2025 along with the projected cost per resident.

Crime	Cost to Downtown Modesto	Cost per Downtown Modesto Resident
Murder	$1.45 million	$199
Rape/Sexual Assault	$210,448	$29
Robbery	$746,739	$103
Assault	$2.16 million	$296
Kidnapping	$94,861	$13
Vehicle Theft	$828,975	$114
Burglary	$650,615	$89
Theft	$1.66 million	$228
Arson	$44,973	$6
Vandalism	$399,057	$55
Animal Cruelty	$1,980	$0
Drug Crimes	$143,014	$20
Identity Theft	$44,048	$6
Total Cost of Crime	$8,435,638	$1,158

The Intangible Cost of Crime in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

The totals above count tangible costs only. Violent crime also carries a human cost, the pain and trauma borne by victims and their families, which research-based methods estimate so it can be compared across places. That intangible cost in Downtown Modesto totals $11,595,970 ($1,592 per resident), and all of it comes from violent crime rather than property loss. Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $20,031,608 ($2,750 per resident). All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Crime Maps

Crime rates on the map are measured per resident, so areas with heavy visitor traffic can read high because crime follows crowds, even where few people live. The central part of the neighborhood holds more retail establishments, which lifts recorded crime around those blocks. A red area does not always mean the neighborhood is unsafe for residents.

Airports, parks, and transit hubs create the same effect. Major airports draw large crowds with few residents nearby, so they read as high-crime spots. Parks and recreational areas, of which Downtown Modesto has 5, do the same, and of Downtown Modesto's 7,284 residents few live beside them. Before assuming an area is unsafe, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total number of incidents, and note what sits nearby.

The interactive maps load faster on a strong connection. Compare high speed internet in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA at ISP Reports.

Downtown Modesto Crime Breakdown

The tables below show which crimes are used to calculate the Crime Grades above. All crime rates are shown as the number of crimes per 1,000 Downtown Modesto residents in a standard year.

Violent Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Assault	10.32
Robbery	3.259
Rape	0.4765
Murder	0.1058
Total Violent Crime	14.16 (F)

Property Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Theft	44.10
Vehicle Theft	7.350
Burglary	9.848
Arson	0.2557
Total Property Crime	61.55 (F)

Other Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Kidnapping	0.2148
Drug Crimes	2.654
Vandalism	7.669
Identity Theft	0.7813
Animal Cruelty	0.0368
Total "Other" Rate	11.36 (C)

Individual Downtown Modesto Crime Maps & Stats

Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods

Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of crime in Downtown Modesto is higher. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Downtown Modesto.

Nearby Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
West Modesto, Modesto, CA	B-	C-	C+
Bystrom, Modesto, CA	C+	D+	C
Shackelford, Modesto, CA	D	D-	D-
South Modesto Acres, Modesto, CA	B-	C-	C+
Mayfield, Ceres, CA	A	B+	A
Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA	A+	A-	A+
Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA	C	D	C-
Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA	B+	C+	B-
Downtown Turlock, Turlock, CA	D	D-	D-
Downtown Newman, Newman, CA	C-	D	D+

Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations

Downtown Modesto is higher versus other neighborhoods of the same size for crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.

Similar Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
South Park, Buffalo, NY	B+	C	C
Clarke Square, Milwaukee, WI	C	D-	D-
Columbia Street Waterfront District, Brooklyn, NY	C	C+	C+
Standish, Minneapolis, MN	D+	C-	C-
Crystal City, Arlington, VA	C	B	B
Cumberland, Atlanta, GA	D+	D-	D-
Delhi, Santa Ana, CA	A-	B-	B-
South Winds, Oxnard, CA	B	D+	D+
South Tabor, Portland, OR	D	C	C
Duclay, Jacksonville, FL	A+	A	A

Considering only the crime rate, Downtown Modesto is less safe than the California state average and less safe than the national average.

Safety and school performance are separate topics, but both shape moving decisions. Using SchoolGrade data, schools in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA average SchoolGrade of D-, with 23% actual proficiency versus 27% projected; overall, schools don't meet expectations. See Downtown Modesto schools on SchoolGrade

About the Data

CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.