Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA Violent Crime Rates and Maps

Overall Crime Grade™

Violent Crime Grade	F
Property Crime Grade	F
Other Crime Grade	C

Which crimes are included?

$4.56 million

Cost of Crime™ for Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

In 2025, violent crime will cost $1,721 per household.

More cost data

On the map, green marks the parts of Downtown Modesto with the least violent crime and red marks the most, weighted by the type and severity of each offense. Violent crime concentrates where people gather after dark, near nightlife, bars, and transit, more than on residential streets. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read those hot spots.

The F grade reflects how often assault, robbery, rape, and murder occur in Downtown Modesto against the average US neighborhood, where the rate is much higher than the norm. Downtown Modesto sits in the 4th percentile for violent-crime safety, ahead of 4% of neighborhoods and behind 96%. The grade covers only Downtown Modesto's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.

The violent crime rate in Downtown Modesto is 14.16 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the south part of the neighborhood the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 30 in the east areas to 1 in 100 in the south.

Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the east parts of Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA report the most violent crime, about 24 cases per year. The northwest part reports the fewest, around 3 per year.

The Cost of Crime™ in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

The tangible cost of violent crime in Downtown Modesto is projected at $4,564,496 for 2025, about $627 per resident and $1,721 per household. That equals 2.4% of the median household income, and it counts only the bills that can be totaled: emergency care, lost wages, and the justice response. The larger cost, the harm to victims, comes later on this page. These tangible costs split into:

Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 44.2%
Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 42.5%
Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 13.1%

How Much Does Violent Crime Cost in Downtown Modesto Compared to Other Neighborhoods?

Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA:	$627
Downtown San Francisco, San Fr:	$824
El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir:	$82
California:	$264
USA:	$258

The tangible cost of violent crime is $627 per resident each year in Downtown Modesto, which is $368 more than the national average and $362 more than Modesto's city average. The comparison below uses neighborhoods similar to Downtown Modesto:

In Downtown San Francisco, San Fr, crime costs $824 per person, which is $197 more than in Downtown Modesto.
In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $82 per person, which is $544 less than in Downtown Modesto

2025 Projected Violent Crime Cost by Type

The table below breaks the violent-crime total into its four offenses for Downtown Modesto, with the projected cost per resident.

Crime	Cost to Downtown Modesto	Cost per Downtown Modesto Resident
Murder	$1.45 million	$199
Rape/Sexual Assault	$210,448	$29
Robbery	$746,739	$103
Assault	$2.16 million	$296
Total Cost of Violent Crime	$4,564,496	$627

The Human Cost of Violent Crime in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA

Much of what violent crime costs never reaches a bill. Pain, trauma, and lost quality of life for victims and their families typically outweigh the medical and legal totals above. Research-based methods put a figure on that harm so it can be compared across places. By those methods, the human cost of violent crime in Downtown Modesto totals $11,595,970 ($1,592 per resident). Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $16,160,466 ($2,219 per resident). This human toll is what sets violent crime apart from property crime in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA, where the loss is mostly replaceable property. All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Violent Crime Maps

Violent crime rates are measured per resident, so places packed with visitors after dark read high even when few people live there. Bars, clubs, event venues, and transit hubs draw the crowds where assaults and robberies cluster. How strongly this shows on the map depends on the commercial base; the central part of the neighborhood has more retail establishments. A red block full of bars and venues does not mean the homes around it are dangerous.

Transit stations show the same effect: large moving crowds, few residents, so per-capita violent crime reads high. Before judging a residential street, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total count of incidents, and note what draws crowds nearby.

The interactive maps load faster on a solid connection. Compare high speed internet in Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA at ISP Reports.

Downtown Modesto Violent Crime Breakdown

The table below shows which offenses feed the Violent Crime Grade above, each as crimes per 1,000 Downtown Modesto residents in a standard year.

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Assault	10.32
Robbery	3.259
Rape	0.4765
Murder	0.1058
Total Violent Crime	14.16 (F)

Individual Downtown Modesto Crime Maps & Stats

Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods

Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of violent crime in Downtown Modesto is higher. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Downtown Modesto.

Nearby Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
West Modesto, Modesto, CA	B-	C-	C+
Bystrom, Modesto, CA	C+	D+	C
Shackelford, Modesto, CA	D	D-	D-
South Modesto Acres, Modesto, CA	B-	C-	C+
Mayfield, Ceres, CA	A	B+	A
Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA	A+	A-	A+
Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA	C	D	C-
Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA	B+	C+	B-
Downtown Turlock, Turlock, CA	D	D-	D-
Downtown Newman, Newman, CA	C-	D	D+

Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations

Downtown Modesto is higher versus other neighborhoods of the same size for violent crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.

Similar Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
South Park, Buffalo, NY	B+	C	C
Clarke Square, Milwaukee, WI	C	D-	D-
Columbia Street Waterfront District, Brooklyn, NY	C	C+	C+
Standish, Minneapolis, MN	D+	C-	C-
Crystal City, Arlington, VA	C	B	B
Cumberland, Atlanta, GA	D+	D-	D-
Delhi, Santa Ana, CA	A-	B-	B-
South Winds, Oxnard, CA	B	D+	D+
South Tabor, Portland, OR	D	C	C
Duclay, Jacksonville, FL	A+	A	A

Considering only the violent crime rate, Downtown Modesto is less safe than the California state average and less safe than the national average.

About the Data

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.