The Safest and Most Dangerous Places in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA: Crime Maps and Statistics

Crime per Capita in Otay Ranch

The map below displays the crime rate per 1,000 residents in Otay Ranch.

 

Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA Map of Crime Rates
Click the map to explore
A+ B C D F
Safest Highest crime
Colorblind friendly off

A+

Overall Crime Grade™

A
A+
Other Crime Grade
A

$15.1 million

Cost of Crime™ for Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

In 2025, crime will cost $771 per household.

More cost data

Crime Grade's crime map highlights the safest areas in Otay Ranch in green, the most dangerous in red, and moderately safe areas in yellow. Crime rates on the map are weighted based on both the type and severity of the crime. For more information on how to interpret our crime maps, see the Interpreting the Crime Maps section below.

Is Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA Safe?

The A+ grade indicates that the rate of crime is much lower than that of the average US neighborhood. Otay Ranch ranks in the 94th percentile for safety, meaning it is safer than 94% of neighborhoods but less safe than 6%. This analysis applies only to Otay Ranch's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.

The crime rate in Otay Ranch is 15.24 per 1,000 residents in the typical year. Otay Ranch Residents generally consider the south part of the neighborhood to be the safest. Your chance of being a victim of crime in Otay Ranch varies by area - ranging from 1 in 43 in the southeast areas to 1 in 112 in the south.

When looking at total crime counts (rather than per capita rates), the north parts of Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA see the most incidents - about 158 per year. In contrast, the south part of the neighborhood has the fewest, with approximately 36 crimes annually.

The Cost of Crime™ in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

The total projected cost of crime in Otay Ranch for 2025 is $15,110,865. This translates to approximately $219 per resident and $771 per household. On average, crime-related costs account for 0.4% of the median household income in Otay Ranch. These figures reflect only tangible costs, which include the following:
  1. Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 57.0%
  2. Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 30.9%
  3. Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 12.0%

How Much Does Crime Cost in Otay Ranch Compared to Other Neighborhoods?

Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA: $219
New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA: $1496
El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir: $200
California: $491
USA: $464

The Cost of Crime per resident in Otay Ranch is $219 per year, which is $245 less than the national average and $271 less than Chula Vista's city average. Below we compare neighborhoods similar to Otay Ranch:
  • In New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA, crime costs $1,496 per person, which is $1,277 more than in Otay Ranch.
  • In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $200 per person, which is $19 less than in Otay Ranch

2025 Projected Cost by Type of Crime

The table below shows the total cost of crime to the residents of Otay Ranch for the year 2025 along with the projected cost per resident.
Crime
Cost to Otay Ranch
Cost per Otay Ranch Resident
Murder
$2.06 million
$30
Rape/Sexual Assault
$1.64 million
$24
Robbery
$1.55 million
$23
Assault
$2.06 million
$30
Kidnapping
$433,968
$6
Vehicle Theft
$2.26 million
$33
Burglary
$1.00 million
$15
Theft
$1.95 million
$28
Arson
$352,337
$5
Vandalism
$758,043
$11
Animal Cruelty
$12,369
$0
Drug Crimes
$945,598
$14
Identity Theft
$80,468
$1
Total Cost of Crime
$15,110,865
$219

The Intangible Cost of Crime in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

CrimeGrade primarily focuses on tangible costs, but the true impact of crime extends beyond economic. Pain and suffering for victims and their families are difficult to quantify, but research-based methodologies help estimate these effects. Using these methodologies, we calculate that the intangible cost of crime in Otay Ranch totals $23,019,276 ($334 per resident). When added to the tangible costs, this brings the total estimated cost of crime to $38,130,141 ($553 per resident). All Cost of Crime facts are based on scholarly research done on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Crime Maps

When interpreting the Otay Ranch crime map, keep in mind that crime rates are measured per resident. Areas with high visitor traffic, such as shopping districts, may appear to have higher crime rates simply because more crimes occur where people gather - even if few residents live there. For example, the northeast part of the neighborhood has more retail establishments, which can artificially inflate crime rates in that area. Red areas on the map do not necessarily mean a neighborhood is unsafe for residents.

More issues arise with places like airports, parks, and schools. Major airports always look like high-crime locations due to the large number of people and the low population nearby. Parks and designated recreational areas have the same problem. Of Otay Ranch’s 68,902 residents, few live near recreational areas. Because many people visit, crime rates may appear higher even for safe parks. Crime occurs where people gather, whether they live there or not. Before assuming an area is unsafe, consider both per-capita crime rates and total crime counts, as well as the types of destinations nearby.

To better understand and navigate these intricate crime maps, a high-speed internet connection can be crucial. Fast and seamless online connectivity ensures that map details load efficiently, providing users with clearer, uninterrupted insights. If you're considering enhancing your online experience, check out high speed internet in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA at ISP Reports.

Otay Ranch Crime Breakdown

The tables below show which crimes are used to calculate the Crime Grades above. All crime rates are shown as the number of crimes per 1,000 Otay Ranch residents in a standard year.

Violent Crime Rates

Crime Type
Crime Rate
Assault
1.040
Robbery
0.7169
Rape
0.3930
Murder
0.0159
Total Violent Crime
2.166 (A)
 
 

 


Property Crime Rates

Crime Type
Crime Rate
Theft
5.470
Vehicle Theft
2.117
Burglary
1.601
Arson
0.2118
Total Property Crime
9.400 (A+)
 
 

 


Other Crime Rates

Crime Type
Crime Rate
Kidnapping
0.1039
Drug Crimes
1.855
Vandalism
1.540
Identity Theft
0.1509
Animal Cruelty
0.0243
Total "Other" Rate
3.674 (A)

 


Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods

Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of crime in Otay Ranch is lower. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Otay Ranch.

Nearby Neighborhood
Overall Crime Grade
Violent Crime Grade
Property Crime Grade
A+
A-
A+
A+
A
A+
A+
A+
A
A
B-
A
A+
A-
A
A+
A+
A+
A-
B+
B
A
B+
A
B+
B
B-
A+
A
A+

Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations

Otay Ranch is lower versus other neighborhoods of the same size for crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.

Similar Neighborhood
Overall Crime Grade
Violent Crime Grade
Property Crime Grade
C-
C-
C-
B-
B-
B-
B
C-
C-
F
F
F
C-
B-
B-
C-
D
D
B+
C
C
B-
B+
B+
C-
A-
A-
F
F
F

Considering only the crime rate, Otay Ranch is safer than the California state average and safer than the national average.

Safety and school performance are separate topics, but both shape moving decisions. Using SchoolGrade data, schools in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA average SchoolGrade of B, with 46% actual proficiency versus 38% projected; overall, schools greatly exceed expectations. See Otay Ranch schools on SchoolGrade

About the Data

CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.

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Home Security

A crime occurs on average every 8 hours 20 minutes in Otay Ranch. Want to protect your home?

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.