The Safest and Most Dangerous Places in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA: Crime Maps and Statistics

A+

Overall Crime Grade™

Violent Crime Grade	A
Property Crime Grade	A+
Other Crime Grade	A

Which crimes are included?

$15.1 million

Cost of Crime™ for Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

In 2025, crime will cost $771 per household.

More cost data

On the map, green marks the parts of Otay Ranch with the least crime overall and red marks the most. Each area is weighted by the type and severity of every offense, so a place with rare but serious violent crime can grade differently from one with frequent petty theft. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read the colors.

Is Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA Safe?

The A+ overall grade blends the violent, property, and other grades shown above into one measure, set against the average US neighborhood, where Otay Ranch's combined rate is much lower than the norm. Otay Ranch sits in the 94th percentile, ahead of 94% of neighborhoods and behind 6%. The grade covers only Otay Ranch's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.

The overall crime rate in Otay Ranch is 15.24 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the south part of the neighborhood the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 43 in the southeast areas to 1 in 112 in the south.

Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the north parts of Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA report the most crime, about 158 cases per year. The south part reports the fewest, around 36 per year.

The Cost of Crime™ in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

Across all crime types, the projected cost of crime in Otay Ranch for 2025 is $15,110,865, about $219 per resident and $771 per household. That equals 0.4% of the median household income. These figures cover tangible costs, which include:

Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 57.0%
Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 30.9%
Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 12.0%

How Much Does Crime Cost in Otay Ranch Compared to Other Neighborhoods?

Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA:	$219
New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA:	$1496
El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir:	$200
California:	$491
USA:	$464

The overall cost of crime per resident in Otay Ranch is $219 per year, which is $245 less than the national average and $271 less than Chula Vista's city average. The comparison below uses neighborhoods similar to Otay Ranch:

In New Downtown, Los Angeles, CA, crime costs $1,496 per person, which is $1,277 more than in Otay Ranch.
In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $200 per person, which is $19 less than in Otay Ranch

2025 Projected Cost by Type of Crime

The table below shows the total cost of crime to the residents of Otay Ranch for the year 2025 along with the projected cost per resident.

Crime	Cost to Otay Ranch	Cost per Otay Ranch Resident
Murder	$2.06 million	$30
Rape/Sexual Assault	$1.64 million	$24
Robbery	$1.55 million	$23
Assault	$2.06 million	$30
Kidnapping	$433,968	$6
Vehicle Theft	$2.26 million	$33
Burglary	$1.00 million	$15
Theft	$1.95 million	$28
Arson	$352,337	$5
Vandalism	$758,043	$11
Animal Cruelty	$12,369	$0
Drug Crimes	$945,598	$14
Identity Theft	$80,468	$1
Total Cost of Crime	$15,110,865	$219

The Intangible Cost of Crime in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

The totals above count tangible costs only. Violent crime also carries a human cost, the pain and trauma borne by victims and their families, which research-based methods estimate so it can be compared across places. That intangible cost in Otay Ranch totals $23,019,276 ($334 per resident), and all of it comes from violent crime rather than property loss. Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $38,130,141 ($553 per resident). All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Crime Maps

Crime rates on the map are measured per resident, so areas with heavy visitor traffic can read high because crime follows crowds, even where few people live. The northeast part of the neighborhood holds more retail establishments, which lifts recorded crime around those blocks. A red area does not always mean the neighborhood is unsafe for residents.

Airports, parks, and transit hubs create the same effect. Major airports draw large crowds with few residents nearby, so they read as high-crime spots. Parks and recreational areas do the same, and of Otay Ranch's 68,902 residents few live beside them. Before assuming an area is unsafe, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total number of incidents, and note what sits nearby.

The interactive maps load faster on a strong connection. Compare high speed internet in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA at ISP Reports.

Otay Ranch Crime Breakdown

The tables below show which crimes are used to calculate the Crime Grades above. All crime rates are shown as the number of crimes per 1,000 Otay Ranch residents in a standard year.

Violent Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Assault	1.040
Robbery	0.7169
Rape	0.3930
Murder	0.0159
Total Violent Crime	2.166 (A)

Property Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Theft	5.470
Vehicle Theft	2.117
Burglary	1.601
Arson	0.2118
Total Property Crime	9.400 (A+)

Other Crime Rates

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Kidnapping	0.1039
Drug Crimes	1.855
Vandalism	1.540
Identity Theft	0.1509
Animal Cruelty	0.0243
Total "Other" Rate	3.674 (A)

Individual Otay Ranch Crime Maps & Stats

Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods

Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of crime in Otay Ranch is lower. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Otay Ranch.

Nearby Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Estlake Greens, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A-	A+
Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A	A+
Eastlake Trails, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A+	A
East Lake, Chula Vista, CA	A	B-	A
Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A-	A
Eastlake Vistas, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A+	A+
Rancho del Rey, Chula Vista, CA	A-	B+	B
Bonita Long Canyon, Bonita, CA	A	B+	A
Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA	B+	B	B-
Rolling Hills Ranch, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A	A+

Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations

Otay Ranch is lower versus other neighborhoods of the same size for crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.

Similar Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Midtown, Manhattan, NY	C-	C-	C-
Southeast Arlington, Arlington, TX	B-	B-	B-
Southeast, Anaheim, CA	B	C-	C-
South of Market, San Francisco, CA	F	F	F
Oak Lawn, Dallas, TX	C-	B-	B-
Near Northwest, Houston, TX	C-	D	D
Morris Heights, Bronx, NY	B+	C	C
Mira Mesa, San Diego, CA	B-	B+	B+
Millcreek, Salt Lake City, UT	C-	A-	A-
Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN	F	F	F

Considering only the crime rate, Otay Ranch is safer than the California state average and safer than the national average.

Safety and school performance are separate topics, but both shape moving decisions. Using SchoolGrade data, schools in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA average SchoolGrade of B, with 46% actual proficiency versus 38% projected; overall, schools greatly exceed expectations. See Otay Ranch schools on SchoolGrade

About the Data

CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.