Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA Violent Crime Rates and Maps
Otay Ranch is a neighborhood of 62,700 residents in Chula Vista, about 6 miles east of downtown · Updated November 2026
How common is violent crime in Otay Ranch?
Otay Ranch earns an A for violent crime, safer than the neighborhoods where 62% of Americans live. Assaults make up 88% of it, and most of those are simple assaults, which involve no weapon and no serious injury. Chula Vista as a whole grades A- for violent crime.
A
Violent crime CrimeGrade™
Safety score 898 of 1,000Less violent crime than most US neighborhoodsi What this means
62% of Americans live in neighborhoods with more violent crime than Otay Ranch as a whole, and 38% in neighborhoods with less. The typical US neighborhood has a violent crime safety score of 860, a CrimeGrade™ of A. Otay Ranch scores 898.
Crime is concentrated in a small share of places, so most neighborhoods score high on the 0 to 1,000 scale. That is why a score in the 800s can still mean more violent crime than most US neighborhoods.
How to read the map: each area's color compares its violent crime with the people who spend time there, on one national scale, from green for the least to red for the most. Each area gets its own color, so a busy downtown or nightlife strip can show red while the homes around it stay green. The interactive maps load faster on a solid connection. Compare high speed internet in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA at ISP Reports.
Who this page is for: homeowners and renters in Otay Ranch in Chula Vista, and anyone thinking about buying or renting a home there.
Business and enterprise customers: this free map shows neighborhood areas. CrimeGrade™ business reports map crime at about 66-meter detail and estimate it for one address and type of business. See business reports
What stands out about violent crime in Otay Ranch
Simple assault runs low. Otay Ranch has 2.4 simple assaults a year per 1,000 residents, a small fraction of the US rate of 9.7.
How Otay Ranch compares within Chula Vista
Every part of Otay Ranch where people live grades A or B for violent crime on the national scale. Violent crime grades across Otay Ranch run from A+ to A.
100%
A or B 100%
Share of residents, by the violent crime CrimeGrade™ of the area they live in.
Otay Ranch has less violent crime than 4 of the 14 neighborhoods in Chula Vista.
Is violent crime going up in Chula Vista?
Reported violent crime in Chula Vista as a whole has risen 11% since 2019. Murders, rapes, robberies and aggravated assaults went from about 3.3 to 3.7 a year per 1,000 residents (US: 3.7). Violent crime changed little from 2023 to 2024.
Violent crime, change since 2019
Chula VistaUnited States
Source: crime reports to the FBI from the police departments that serve Chula Vista. The charts follow crimes per resident.
Data table
Year
Violent, Chula Vista
Violent, US
2016
-21%
+4%
2017
-9%
+4%
2018
-7%
+0%
2019
+0%
+0%
2020
-0%
+4%
2021
+3%
+6%
2022
+7%
+5%
2023
+7%
+2%
2024
+11%
-4%
Violent crime rates and types in Otay Ranch
CrimeGrade™ estimates Otay Ranch has about 4.0 reported violent crimes a year for every 1,000 residents, 70% less than the US as a whole and 53% less than Chula Vista as a whole.
All violent crime
Assaults
Robbery
Reported crimes a year, per 1,000 residents. Violent crime here includes simple assaults, which the FBI's violent crime rate leaves out.
Assault is the most common violent crime in Otay Ranch, about 88% of the total.
Each CrimeGrade™ here compares a violent crime with the people who spend time in an area, not only the people who live there. Rates count crimes per 1,000 residents.
Select a crime's name to see its map above. CrimeGrade™ business reports map each crime at about 66-meter detail.
Where and when violent crime happens in Chula Vista
The Chula Vista Police Department polices Otay Ranch; these figures cover Chula Vista as a whole, 2022 to 2024.
In Chula Vista as a whole, 40% of aggravated assaults happen at a home, against 53% nationally. Robberies happen most often at stores and businesses: 49% of them.
Crime
Most often at
Busiest time
Robbery
Stores and businesses (49%)
Afternoon (noon to 6 pm)
Aggravated assault
Homes (40%)
Evening (6 pm to midnight)
Shares of the crimes reported to police, 2022 to 2024. Reports with no time recorded are left out of the times.
Violent crime in Otay Ranch and nearby neighborhoods
Of the 10 neighborhoods closest to Otay Ranch, 8 have less violent crime. Rolling Hills Ranch and Bonita Long Canyon have the least.
Nearest first, with each place's distance from Otay Ranch. Beside each violent crime CrimeGrade™ is its safety score, from 0 to 1,000 (higher is safer).
Compared with neighborhoods of similar size and density, Otay Ranch is safer than 96% of them.
Among the traits that tend to go with violent crime, one sets Otay Ranch apart: it has 12 jobs for every 100 residents, against 45 for the US as a whole. Places like that tend to report less robbery, yet robbery runs higher here than that would suggest.
Transit serviceBuses and trains an hour at the evening rush. Places with busy transit tend to report more robbery. BestNeighborhood's Transit Grade for Otay Ranch: D (17 of 100).NoneUS: noneLower than for 95% of residents of US city neighborhoods
JobsJobs draw daytime crowds. Places with many jobs tend to report more robbery.12 for every 100 residentsUS: 45Lower than for 85% of residents of US city neighborhoods
Walk GradeBestNeighborhood's grade for getting through daily life on foot, traced along real walking routes to shops, schools and parks. Walkable places tend to report more assault. 82% of residents here live in car-dependent areas.D (18 of 100)US: 21Lower than for 78% of residents of US city neighborhoods
Show all 4
Bars and nightlifeBars, lounges, clubs and casinos. Places with more bars tend to report more assault and robbery.0.2 per 1,000 residentsUS: 0.6Lower than for 69% of residents of US city neighborhoods
These traits tend to go with more or less crime; none of them causes it on its own. Sources: Census job counts and housing figures, OpenStreetMap and Overture business listings, CrimeGrade™ parking estimates, NASA night-light imagery, US Forest Service tree cover, EPA transit data and BestNeighborhood's Walk Grade.
What violent crime costs Otay Ranch
Counting the pain and suffering of victims, violent crime costs Otay Ranch about $23 million a year, or $360 per resident. The costs that reach a bill, such as medical care, lost work and the justice system, come to about $5.2 million, or $82 per resident.
Billed cost of violent crime per resident, per year
How CrimeGrade™ works
The violent crime CrimeGrade™ covers murder, rape, robbery and assault, from A+ for the least crime to F for the most, on one scale for the whole country.
It weighs each violent crime against the people who spend time in an area, so a busy downtown is graded on its workers and visitors as well as its residents.
The rates on this page count crimes for every 1,000 people who live here, the way police departments report them.
Comparisons with US neighborhoods use the Census Bureau's block groups, small areas of about 1,400 residents, and count the people who live in each. The figures count crimes reported to police; many crimes, shoplifting above all, never are. Behind the grades, CrimeGrade™ tested 21,607 factors from 125 data families. For business owners, paid CrimeGrade™ location reports estimate crime at a single address for each type of business.
Where the numbers come from
Crime reports that police departments file with the FBI
State crime records and city crime data, where they are published
Published research on what crime costs victims and communities
These are estimates of reported crime for whole areas, not a record of what happened on any one street. CrimeGrade™ updates them once a year and provides them free and without guarantee. Check local sources before you rely on them for a decision.
