Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA Violent Crime Rates and Maps

A+

Violent Crime Grade	A
Property Crime Grade	A+
Other Crime Grade	A

Which crimes are included?

$7.32 million

Cost of Crime™ for Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

In 2025, violent crime will cost $373 per household.

More cost data

On the map, green marks the parts of Otay Ranch with the least violent crime and red marks the most, weighted by the type and severity of each offense. Violent crime concentrates where people gather after dark, near nightlife, bars, and transit, more than on residential streets. The Interpreting the Crime Maps section below explains how to read those hot spots.

The A grade reflects how often assault, robbery, rape, and murder occur in Otay Ranch against the average US neighborhood, where the rate is much lower than the norm. Otay Ranch sits in the 88th percentile for violent-crime safety, ahead of 88% of neighborhoods and behind 12%. The grade covers only Otay Ranch's official city boundaries. See the table below for nearby neighborhoods.

The violent crime rate in Otay Ranch is 2.166 per 1,000 residents in a typical year. Residents generally consider the south part of the neighborhood the safest. Your chance of being a victim ranges from 1 in 252 in the southeast areas to 1 in 733 in the south.

Counting total incidents instead of per-capita rates, the west parts of Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA report the most violent crime, about 28 cases per year. The south part reports the fewest, around 5 per year.

The Cost of Crime™ in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

The tangible cost of violent crime in Otay Ranch is projected at $7,317,062 for 2025, about $106 per resident and $373 per household. That equals 0.2% of the median household income, and it counts only the bills that can be totaled: emergency care, lost wages, and the justice response. The larger cost, the harm to victims, comes later on this page. These tangible costs split into:

Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 49.2%
Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 35.1%
Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 15.6%

How Much Does Violent Crime Cost in Otay Ranch Compared to Other Neighborhoods?

Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA:	$106
Downtown San Francisco, San Fr:	$824
El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir:	$82
California:	$264
USA:	$258

The tangible cost of violent crime is $106 per resident each year in Otay Ranch, which is $152 less than the national average and $158 less than Chula Vista's city average. The comparison below uses neighborhoods similar to Otay Ranch:

In Downtown San Francisco, San Fr, crime costs $824 per person, which is $717 more than in Otay Ranch.
In El Toro Marine Air Station, Ir, crime costs $82 per person, which is $24 less than in Otay Ranch

2025 Projected Violent Crime Cost by Type

The table below breaks the violent-crime total into its four offenses for Otay Ranch, with the projected cost per resident.

Crime	Cost to Otay Ranch	Cost per Otay Ranch Resident
Murder	$2.06 million	$30
Rape/Sexual Assault	$1.64 million	$24
Robbery	$1.55 million	$23
Assault	$2.06 million	$30
Total Cost of Violent Crime	$7,317,062	$106

The Human Cost of Violent Crime in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA

Much of what violent crime costs never reaches a bill. Pain, trauma, and lost quality of life for victims and their families typically outweigh the medical and legal totals above. Research-based methods put a figure on that harm so it can be compared across places. By those methods, the human cost of violent crime in Otay Ranch totals $23,019,276 ($334 per resident). Added to the tangible costs, the full estimate reaches $30,336,338 ($440 per resident). This human toll is what sets violent crime apart from property crime in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA, where the loss is mostly replaceable property. All Cost of Crime figures come from scholarly research on the cost of crime. Read more about our methodology here.

Interpreting the Violent Crime Maps

Violent crime rates are measured per resident, so places packed with visitors after dark read high even when few people live there. Bars, clubs, event venues, and transit hubs draw the crowds where assaults and robberies cluster. How strongly this shows on the map depends on the commercial base; the northeast part of the neighborhood has more retail establishments. A red block full of bars and venues does not mean the homes around it are dangerous.

Transit stations show the same effect: large moving crowds, few residents, so per-capita violent crime reads high. Before judging a residential street, weigh both the per-capita rate and the total count of incidents, and note what draws crowds nearby.

The interactive maps load faster on a solid connection. Compare high speed internet in Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA at ISP Reports.

Otay Ranch Violent Crime Breakdown

The table below shows which offenses feed the Violent Crime Grade above, each as crimes per 1,000 Otay Ranch residents in a standard year.

Crime Type	Crime Rate
Assault	1.040
Robbery	0.7169
Rape	0.3930
Murder	0.0159
Total Violent Crime	2.166 (A)

Individual Otay Ranch Crime Maps & Stats

Crime Maps and Rates for Nearby Neighborhoods

Compared to surrounding neighborhoods, the rate of violent crime in Otay Ranch is lower. The table below shows Crime Grades for neighborhoods close to Otay Ranch.

Nearby Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Estlake Greens, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A-	A+
Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A	A+
Eastlake Trails, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A+	A
East Lake, Chula Vista, CA	A	B-	A
Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A-	A
Eastlake Vistas, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A+	A+
Rancho del Rey, Chula Vista, CA	A-	B+	B
Bonita Long Canyon, Bonita, CA	A	B+	A
Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA	B+	B	B-
Rolling Hills Ranch, Chula Vista, CA	A+	A	A+

Crime Maps and Rates for Neighborhood with Similar Populations

Otay Ranch is lower versus other neighborhoods of the same size for violent crime. The table below compares crime in neighborhoods with comparable overall population in the neighborhood‘s boundaries.

Similar Neighborhood	Overall Crime Grade	Violent Crime Grade	Property Crime Grade
Midtown, Manhattan, NY	C-	C-	C-
Southeast Arlington, Arlington, TX	B-	B-	B-
Southeast, Anaheim, CA	B	C-	C-
South of Market, San Francisco, CA	F	F	F
Oak Lawn, Dallas, TX	C-	B-	B-
Near Northwest, Houston, TX	C-	D	D
Morris Heights, Bronx, NY	B+	C	C
Mira Mesa, San Diego, CA	B-	B+	B+
Millcreek, Salt Lake City, UT	C-	A-	A-
Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN	F	F	F

Considering only the violent crime rate, Otay Ranch is safer than the California state average and safer than the national average.

About the Data

CrimeGrade.org provides highly detailed and accurate crime data, used by insurance companies, home security firms, and other industries. Our data is available for licensing—learn more about our USA crime data and licensing.

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All maps and statistics above are projections, not certainties, and provided without guarantee free of charge. Verify all info before making any decisions based on the data.